AI Frenzy Back in Force, Lifting Stocks as Palladium and Gold Shine

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Macro Overview

U.S. equities resumed their upward trend on Wednesday, shaking off a brief pause from the recent rally. The S&P 500 (IVV) climbed 0.59% to close at a new all-time high, propelled by continued investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence technology. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led the gains with a 1.1% surge to its own record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, remained mostly flat for the session. Sentiment was further supported by minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting, which suggested policymakers may be leaning towards further interest rate cuts this year. Elsewhere, gold prices continued their ascent, pushing further beyond the $4,000 per ounce milestone.

U.S. Size & Style

Gains were seen across the board in U.S. size and style segments, with growth-oriented and smaller-cap stocks leading the charge. Mid-Cap Growth (IJK) was the day’s top performer, posting a strong gain of 1.22%, followed closely by Mid-Cap Blend (IJH) at 1.01%. Large-cap growth stocks (IVW) also outperformed the broader market, rising 0.84%. Value-oriented segments saw more modest gains, with Large-Cap Value (IVE) up 0.28%.

Ticker 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Value (IVE) +0.28% 0.30% 3.21% 6.11% 10.58% 8.53%
Large Cap (IVV) +0.59% 0.59% 4.04% 8.84% 15.97% 18.95%
Large Growth (IVW) +0.84% 0.78% 4.74% 11.14% 20.57% 27.49%
Mid Value (IJJ) +0.69% -0.33% -0.23% 3.08% 5.87% 8.96%
Mid Cap (IJH) +1.01% 0.06% -0.04% 4.12% 6.58% 7.75%
Mid Growth (IJK) +1.22% 0.29% 0.11% 4.88% 6.89% 6.40%
Small Value (IJS) +0.86% -1.03% 0.76% 8.24% 3.68% 7.90%
Small Cap (IJR) +0.91% -0.63% 0.69% 6.92% 4.65% 6.25%
Small Growth (IJT) +0.87% -0.36% 0.56% 5.42% 5.51% 4.26%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

The Technology sector (XLK) was the undisputed leader, surging 1.75% as the AI trade regained momentum. Within tech, Semiconductors (XSD) and Software (XSW) were particularly strong, gaining 2.72% and 1.41% respectively. Industrials (XLI) and Utilities (XLU) also had strong showings. On the other end of the spectrum, defensive sectors lagged, with Consumer Staples (XLP) falling -0.50%. Energy (XLE) was the day’s worst performer, down -0.58%.

Sector 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Technology (XLK) +1.75% 2.10% 9.90% 13.57% 25.60% 28.34%
Industrials (XLI) +0.87% 0.76% 3.28% 4.95% 19.29% 16.59%
Utilities (XLU) +0.69% 2.13% 10.63% 12.65% 22.45% 17.58%
Materials (XLB) +0.54% 0.04% -1.86% -0.99% 8.40% -2.93%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) +0.30% -0.61% 0.34% 8.80% 6.06% 21.02%
Health Care (XLV) +0.19% -0.21% 5.31% 7.56% 6.44% -3.10%
Communication Services (XLC) -0.41% -0.70% 1.01% 8.62% 20.44% 29.25%
Financial (XLF) -0.48% -0.39% 1.09% 2.83% 11.86% 19.71%
Consumer Staples (XLP) -0.50% -0.31% -2.78% -3.71% 0.85% -1.45%
Real Estate (XLRE) -0.51% -1.81% -0.63% 0.52% 3.94% -1.40%
Energy (XLE) -0.58% 0.07% 2.95% 1.38% 6.44% 0.95%

Global Thematic

Thematic ETFs saw significant divergence. Disruptive technology themes were in high demand, with the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) soaring an incredible 7.10%. Precious metal miners also had a stellar session. In contrast, themes like Hydrogen (HYDR) and Cannabis (MSOS) faced heavy selling pressure, falling -2.26% and -1.28% respectively, highlighting the volatile nature of these focused strategies.

Top 5 Performers
Ticker Name 1-Day % Change
ARKG ARK Genomic Revolution ETF +7.10%
SILJ Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF +6.15%
SLVR Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF +6.12%
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF +5.07%
GOEX Global X Gold Explorers ETF +4.21%
Bottom 5 Performers
Ticker Name 1-Day % Change
HYDR Global X Hydrogen ETF -2.26%
MSOS AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF -1.28%
CNBS Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF -0.94%
SURI Simplify Propel Opportunities ETF -0.89%
BIZD VanEck BDC Income ETF -0.71%

Developed Markets ex-U.S.

Developed international markets delivered a mixed performance. France (EWQ) was a notable bright spot, gaining 1.16%, and South Korea (EWY) continued its strong run with a 1.01% advance. Conversely, Japan (EWJ) and the Netherlands (EWN) both finished in the red, each declining -0.26%.

Country 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
ex-U.S. (EFA) +0.30% -0.35% 2.20% 6.22% 27.48% 19.21%
Australia (EWA) +0.33% -0.73% 0.85% 4.17% 15.86% 6.92%
Canada (EWC) +0.39% -0.20% 3.73% 11.17% 27.75% 26.82%
France (EWQ) +1.16% -1.36% 3.05% 2.38% 26.26% 16.40%
Germany (EWG) +0.64% -0.21% 1.56% -0.59% 35.26% 30.78%
Hong Kong (EWH) +0.61% -0.09% 0.65% 8.19% 32.05% 19.68%
Japan (EWJ) -0.26% -0.04% 0.98% 11.70% 22.82% 17.46%
Netherlands (EWN) -0.26% -2.03% 7.83% 7.51% 33.04% 19.47%
South Korea (EWY) +1.01% 0.41% 13.48% 16.80% 65.44% 36.03%
Switzerland (EWL) +0.50% 0.30% 0.89% 3.67% 26.00% 14.29%
U.K. (EWU) +0.54% 0.09% 2.33% 7.26% 28.48% 22.03%

Emerging Markets

Emerging market equities posted broad gains, led by a remarkable 3.10% surge in South Africa (EZA). Taiwan (EWT) and Mexico (EWW) also showed significant strength, rising 1.30% and 1.06%, respectively. India (INDA) was a notable outlier, finishing the day with a loss of -0.47%.

Country 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Emerging (EEM) +0.80% 0.48% 7.03% 12.65% 31.54% 21.11%
Brazil (EWZ) +0.64% -1.52% 0.98% 4.04% 35.11% 9.76%
China (MCHI) +0.49% -0.63% 6.15% 19.95% 42.50% 27.84%
India (INDA) -0.47% 0.34% -0.49% -5.49% -0.02% -7.12%
Indonesia (EIDO) +0.11% 0.11% -0.29% 0.81% -3.03% -16.63%
Malaysia (EWM) +0.12% -0.69% 3.58% 8.64% 8.33% 4.48%
Mexico (EWW) +1.06% -1.62% 2.46% 7.95% 42.93% 27.40%
South Africa (EZA) +3.10% 2.67% 12.57% 24.14% 61.27% 45.29%
Taiwan (EWT) +1.30% 1.56% 7.66% 13.86% 26.84% 24.76%
Thailand (THD) +0.28% 0.23% 0.60% 17.36% 2.06% -6.79%

Fixed Income

It was a generally quiet session for the fixed income market, with most major categories showing minimal change. The standout performer was Convertible Bonds (CWB), which rallied 0.84%, benefiting from the strong performance in the underlying equity markets. Credit-sensitive areas like High Yield (HYG) and Preferred Stocks (PFF) saw modest declines of -0.15% and -0.16% respectively.

Ticker 1 Day WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Taxable Core (AGG) +0.01% -0.04% 0.02% 3.11% 6.42% 4.33%
Taxable Core Enhanced (IUSB) +0.02% -0.04% 0.08% 3.11% 6.52% 4.74%
Taxable Multisector (PYLD) 0.00% 0.04% 0.41% 3.25% 7.80% 8.05%
Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) +0.02% 0.04% 0.33% 1.07% 3.24% 4.35%
Taxable Short-Term (BSV) -0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 1.79% 4.91% 4.96%
Taxable Long Term (BLV) +0.01% -0.25% -0.02% 5.12% 7.02% 1.16%
Government Short (SPTS) -0.03% 0.00% 0.15% 1.52% 4.00% 4.58%
Government Intermediate (SPTI) 0.00% 0.00% -0.35% 2.44% 6.52% 4.79%
Government Long (SPTL) +0.04% -0.04% -0.19% 4.82% 5.94% -0.63%
Inflation Protected (TIP) +0.07% 0.18% -0.22% 2.76% 7.07% 4.66%
Corporate (SPIB) -0.03% -0.06% 0.13% 2.75% 6.79% 6.06%
Taxable High Yield (HYG) -0.15% -0.24% 0.20% 2.30% 7.06% 7.56%
Bank Loans (BKLN) -0.10% -0.19% 0.36% 1.53% 4.64% 6.77%
Preferred Stock (PFF) -0.16% -0.19% 0.00% 3.88% 5.96% 2.20%
Convertible (CWB) +0.84% 0.66% 6.95% 12.06% 20.65% 23.90%
Mortgage Backed (MBS) +0.03% 0.04% 0.16% 3.58% 7.12% 4.99%
International USD (BNDX) +0.26% 0.12% 0.27% 1.23% 2.80% 3.40%
International (IGOV) -0.05% -0.96% -1.38% -0.89% 9.79% 3.51%
Emerging USD (EMB) +0.05% -0.12% 0.78% 5.01% 11.10% 9.03%
Emerging (EMLC) +0.20% -0.08% 0.73% 2.54% 15.22% 9.60%
Municipal Short (SUB) -0.02% -0.04% -0.25% 0.90% 2.93% 2.97%
Municipal Intermediate (MUB) +0.03% 0.18% 0.97% 3.17% 2.44% 1.90%
Municipal Long (MLN) +0.09% 0.14% 2.14% 5.23% 0.65% 0.24%
Municipal High Yield (HYD) -0.15% -0.18% 0.86% 2.63% 0.81% 0.42%

Commodities

It was a blockbuster day for precious metals. Palladium (PALL) was the standout, rocketing 9.21% higher. Platinum (PPLT) and Silver (SLV) also posted strong gains of 2.98% and 2.70% respectively, as Gold (GLD) firmed its position above the $4,000 level. In stark contrast, Natural Gas (UNG) prices plunged, with the ETF dropping -4.93% on the day.

Commodity 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) +0.38% 1.74% 4.36% 5.17% 12.83% 12.01%
Energy (DBE) +0.04% 1.91% 1.05% -2.43% 2.57% 2.00%
WTI Crude Oil (USO) +0.45% 2.54% 0.67% -4.46% -2.67% -2.98%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) +0.57% 2.70% 1.14% -2.21% 0.40% -1.70%
Natural Gas (UNG) -4.93% 0.38% -0.46% -11.67% -22.07% -14.10%
Gasoline (UGA) +0.17% 2.55% 0.52% 0.18% 1.31% 1.49%
Precious Metals (DBP) +1.69% 3.47% 11.78% 23.42% 53.13% 52.85%
Gold (GLD) +1.65% 4.10% 11.19% 22.40% 53.76% 53.61%
Silver (SLV) +2.70% 2.39% 18.80% 33.85% 69.24% 59.09%
Platinum (PPLT) +2.98% 3.97% 20.64% 22.01% 83.26% 73.09%
Palladium (PALL) +9.21% 16.08% 29.14% 32.69% 60.78% 42.74%
Industrial Metals (DBB) -0.57% 0.24% 5.47% 10.58% 11.46% 5.90%
Copper (CPER) +0.26% 0.19% 11.95% -7.08% 24.72% 12.07%
Agriculture (DBA) +0.15% -0.11% -2.35% 3.50% 0.19% 9.45%
Corn (CORN) +0.40% -0.17% -0.45% 1.38% -6.34% -4.33%
Soybeans (SOYB) +0.37% 0.60% -0.77% 1.58% 2.05% -1.66%
Wheat (WEAT) 0.00% -1.20% -2.38% -9.49% -14.94% -23.51%
Sugar (CANE) -1.70% -0.80% -0.86% -4.18% -8.75% -20.16%

Cryptocurrency

Digital assets had a positive session, with major cryptocurrencies moving higher. Solana (SOLZ) was the day’s leader, jumping 3.51%. Bitcoin (IBIT) posted a solid gain of 1.35%, while Ethereum (ETHA) rose by a more modest 0.80%.

Asset 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Ethereum (ETHA) +0.80% -0.26% 5.27% 72.75% 35.11% 84.80%
Bitcoin (IBIT) +1.35% 0.36% 9.98% 13.33% 32.06% 97.91%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) +1.50% -0.08% 8.38% 19.80%
Solana (SOLZ) +3.51% -2.03% 3.94% 43.79%

What to Watch Today

Investors will be closely watching this morning’s weekly Initial Jobless Claims report, due at 8:30 AM ET, for a fresh reading on the health of the labor market. The consensus forecast is for 223,000 new claims. A significantly higher number could be interpreted as a sign of economic slowing, potentially increasing the odds of more aggressive Fed rate cuts, while a lower number would point to continued labor market resilience. Additionally, a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell later in the day will be scrutinized for any new insights into the central bank’s monetary policy outlook.

For a deeper dive into the data, access today’s full Daily ETF Data Pack.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.