Volatility Spikes and Managed Futures: How Alternative ETFs Fared This Week

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Weekly Channel Summary

The Alternative ETF channel closed the final week of January with a total Assets Under Management (AUM) of $10.4B across 46 ETFs and 28 distinct brands. The segment continues to see healthy participation, gathering $101M ($0.10B) in net new money over the past five trading days. This weekly activity brings the Year-To-Date (YTD) net flows to $226M, maintaining the momentum seen over the trailing 1-year period, which has accounted for a staggering $3.98B in net inflows. This represents a significant growth phase for the channel as investors increasingly turn to non-traditional strategies like managed futures and volatility tracking to navigate market uncertainty.

This Week’s Performance Leaders and Laggards

Performance across the alternative landscape was characterized by a sharp divergence in volatility-related strategies. The “Alternative: Volatility – Long” category led the channel this week with a 2.94% return, benefiting from a spike in market nervousness. Conversely, the “Alternative: Volatility – Short” category was the primary laggard, declining -1.24% WTD. On a YTD basis, these two remain in opposition, with Long Volatility up 1.44% while Short Volatility is down -1.42%. Within the Absolute Return complex, Multi-Strategy funds outpaced their peers with a 1.73% weekly gain, followed closely by Managed Futures at 1.50%, while Event Driven strategies remained essentially flat at 0.10%.

Absolute Return Category Performance

Category WTD 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month YTD 1 Year
Absolute Return – Multi-Strategy 1.73% 2.50% 0.93% 3.14% 2.85% 6.34%
Absolute Return – Managed Futures 1.50% 6.42% 9.56% 15.03% 6.20% 12.10%
Absolute Return – Event Driven 0.10% 0.67% 1.35% 3.48% 0.66% 8.88%

Volatility Category Performance

Category WTD 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month YTD 1 Year
Alternative: Volatility – Long 2.94% 1.23% -19.58% -34.37% 1.44% -33.32%
Alternative: Volatility – Short -1.24% -1.39% 7.22% 16.70% -1.42% -4.49%

Top & Bottom 5 ETFs by Weekly Performance

On an individual basis, the top performer for the week was the Simplify Multi-QIS Alternative ETF (QIS), which jumped 5.94%, reflecting the strength in multi-asset quantitative strategies. The volatility theme dominated the rest of the leaderboard, with long-biased funds like UVIX up 5.07%. On the downside, short-volatility exposure suffered most; the -1x Short VIX Futures ETF (SVIX) fell -2.66%, and the Volatility Premium Plus ETF (ZVOL) dropped -2.09%, highlighting the risks of selling volatility in a choppier environment.

Ticker Fund Name WTD Performance
Top Performers
QIS Simplify Multi-QIS Alternative ETF 5.94%
UVIX 2x Long VIX Futures ETF 5.07%
HFMF Unlimited HFMF Managed Futures ETF 3.78%
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF 3.50%
UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF 3.49%
Bottom Performers
SVIX -1x Short VIX Futures ETF -2.66%
ZVOL Volatility Premium Plus ETF -2.09%
SCLS Stoneport Advisors Commodity Long Short ETF -1.46%
SVXY ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF -1.13%
WTMF WisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy Fund -0.48%

Analyzing the Weekly Flows

Net flows for the week totaled $101M, driven almost entirely by the “Absolute Return – Managed Futures” category, which attracted $112M. This robust inflow suggests that investors are increasingly using trend-following strategies to hedge portfolios as traditional asset classes fluctuate. Interestingly, we saw a contrarian bid in “Alternative: Volatility – Long,” which took in $1M despite its category having lost one-third of its value over the past year. In contrast, “Alternative: Volatility – Short” saw $11M in outflows, likely a combination of profit-taking and defensive repositioning following the week’s lackluster performance. Overall, the Absolute Return complex remains the primary engine of growth for the channel, netting over $112M while Volatility categories were net negative for the week.

Absolute Return Category Flows

Category Fund Count AUM 5 Day 30 Day 90 Day YTD 1 Year
Absolute Return – Managed Futures 15 $5.2B $112M $351M $698M $320M $2,079M
Absolute Return – Multi-Strategy 11 $1.9B $3M $11M ($20M) $10M $244M
Absolute Return – Event Driven 9 $0.5B ($3M) ($11M) $13M ($11M) $15M

Volatility Category Flows

Category Fund Count AUM 5 Day 30 Day 90 Day YTD 1 Year
Alternative: Volatility – Long 6 $1.6B $1M ($24M) ($203M) ($32M) $2,040M
Alternative: Volatility – Short 5 $1.1B ($11M) ($83M) ($172M) ($62M) ($395M)

Top & Bottom 5 ETFs by 5-Day Flow

The flow leader for the week was the IMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF), which gathered $78M, representing a healthy 3.29% of its existing AUM. The 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) also saw high conviction, pulling in $36M, which accounted for over 10% of its AUM in just five days. Outflow activity was led by the iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX), which saw $36M depart, followed by the -1x Short VIX Futures ETF (SVIX) with $14M in redemptions, indicating a broad exit from short-term volatility instruments.

Ticker Fund Name 5-Day Flow
Inflows
DBMF IMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF $78M
UVIX 2x Long VIX Futures ETF $36M
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF $19M
VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF $6M
FLSP Franklin Systematic Style Premia ETF $5M
Outflows
VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN ($36M)
SVIX -1x Short VIX Futures ETF ($14M)
UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF ($8M)
MNA NYLI Merger Arbitrage ETF ($4M)
AHLT American Beacon AHL Trend ETF ($2M)

Issuer League Table Update

The competitive landscape in Alternatives remains top-heavy, with the top two issuers, IM and Simplify, commanding 23.64% and 18.96% of the market share, respectively, and a combined AUM of over $4.4B. IM was the clear flow leader this week, capturing $78M in net new assets, primarily through its single managed futures product. On the other end of the spectrum, iPath experienced the largest weekly outflow among issuers, losing $36M, which represents nearly 6% of its total AUM in the channel.

Top 5 Issuers by AUM

Brand Fund Count AUM AUM Market Share
IM 1 $2.45B 23.64%
Simplify 3 $1.96B 18.96%
New York Life Investments 2 $1.04B 10.06%
ProShares 6 $0.92B 8.89%
iPath 2 $0.61B 5.93%

Top & Bottom 3 Issuers by 5-Day Flow

Brand 5-Day Flow
Inflows
IM $78M
Simplify $22M
Volatility Shares $21M
Outflows
iPath ($36M)
New York Life Investments ($5M)
American Beacon ($2M)

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Disclosures

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.