Emerging Markets Surge as Precious Metals Ignite a Global Rally

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Macro Overview

The broader market experienced a broadly positive session across global equity complexes, led notably by strength abroad. U.S. Equities (IVV) advanced 0.70%, slightly trailing Developed International Equities (EFA), which posted a comparable gain of 0.82%. However, Emerging Markets (EEM) stood out as a significant upside outlier, surging 2.13% to firmly lead regional indices. In other asset classes, Broad Commodities (DJP) caught a strong tailwind to add 1.09%, whereas the fixed income landscape remained largely muted as Taxable Core bonds (AGG) closed flat with a marginal 0.02% gain.

U.S. Size & Style

Large Growth (IVW) paced the U.S. size and style boxes with a 0.98% advance, firmly outpacing its Large Value (IVE) counterpart which gained a more modest 0.42%. Mid Cap Growth (IJK) also showed relative technical strength, advancing 0.76% while screening as near-overbought with a 14-day RSI of 66.89. Meanwhile, Small Caps (IJR) added 0.53%, supported by healthy intermediate breadth as 68.33% of its constituents remain above their 50-day moving averages.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Growth (IVW) +0.98% +0.17% +3.02% -1.74% +14.87%
Large Cap (IVV) +0.70% +1.75% +5.98% +1.10% +14.34%
Large Value (IVE) +0.42% +3.51% +9.33% +4.30% +13.37%
Mid Growth (IJK) +0.76% +4.20% +16.78% +10.00% +16.25%
Mid Cap (IJH) +0.63% +4.37% +16.40% +9.26% +15.13%
Mid Value (IJJ) +0.47% +4.59% +15.87% +8.44% +13.82%
Small Growth (IJT) +0.67% +2.91% +15.50% +8.51% +12.12%
Small Cap (IJR) +0.53% +3.79% +18.02% +9.53% +15.16%
Small Value (IJS) +0.46% +4.84% +20.64% +10.57% +18.19%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Communication Services (XLC) led the sector board, rising 1.44% despite trading with weak underlying breadth where only 43.48% of its constituents reside above their 50-day moving average. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) was the only other sector to exceed a 1% daily gain, adding 1.04%. Conversely, Energy (XLE) lagged the broader market, retreating 0.54% even as a staggering 100% of its constituents technically remain above both their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Industrials (XLI) advanced 0.50% but continues to exhibit technical exhaustion, screening as definitively overbought with a 14-day RSI of 74.57.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Communication Services (XLC) +1.44% +2.93% +6.55% -0.78% +13.18%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) +1.04% -1.40% +6.42% -1.64% +5.62%
Real Estate (XLRE) +0.83% +5.22% +9.07% +7.96% +5.79%
Financial (XLF) +0.65% -1.33% +3.05% -4.16% +3.55%
Industrials (XLI) +0.50% +8.38% +20.29% +14.25% +30.30%
Technology (XLK) +0.48% -0.68% +3.69% -2.15% +17.43%
Utilities (XLU) +0.48% +7.84% +6.06% +8.53% +18.74%
Materials (XLB) +0.25% +9.90% +26.05% +16.78% +20.40%
Consumer Staples (XLP) +0.25% +6.71% +14.97% +13.14% +11.15%
Health Care (XLV) -0.28% +0.91% +4.00% +1.30% +8.39%
Energy (XLE) -0.54% +15.29% +24.56% +22.75% +22.15%

Global Thematic

Precious metals mining strategies thoroughly dominated the daily thematic leaderboard, highlighted by Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver (SLVR) soaring an impressive 7.72%. Silver-adjacent and global copper mining themes captured the entirety of the top five, reflecting a robust risk-on appetite targeting the metals complex. On the downside, cannabis strategies faced intense localized selling pressure, as both Amplify Seymour Cannabis (CNBS) and AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis (MSOS) cratered over 10% during the session.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change
1-Day Performance Leaders
Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver (SLVR) +7.72%
Amplify Junior Silver Miners (SILJ) +4.51%
Global X Silver Miners (SIL) +4.39%
U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners (GOAU) +3.74%
Global X Copper Miners (COPX) +3.45%
1-Day Performance Laggards
Amplify Seymour Cannabis (CNBS) -10.52%
AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis (MSOS) -10.02%
WisdomTree Cybersecurity (WCBR) -5.02%
Global X Cybersecurity (BUG) -4.94%
Amplify Alternative Harvest (MJ) -4.79%

Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

South Korea (EWY) delivered a notable 4.93% surge to easily lead international equities, pushing its 14-day RSI into deeply overbought territory at 77.44 with a striking 91.46% of constituents holding above their 50-day moving averages. Within emerging markets, South Africa (EZA) and Taiwan (EWT) also posted strong daily advances of 2.99% and 2.35%, respectively. On the weaker side of the international complex, Japan (EWJ) managed only a 0.30% gain, while Thailand (THD) contracted by 0.44% despite maintaining a heavily overbought RSI profile of 80.27.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Developed Markets ex-U.S.
South Korea (EWY) +4.93% +27.85% +63.91% +45.94% +148.22%
France (EWQ) +1.64% +7.03% +11.47% +5.98% +22.24%
Australia (EWA) +1.12% +12.24% +21.08% +13.40% +22.24%
Germany (EWG) +1.00% +4.18% +13.96% +4.28% +24.49%
Netherlands (EWN) +0.83% +4.19% +18.16% +10.78% +36.98%
Hong Kong (EWH) +0.76% +6.55% +13.36% +11.81% +47.46%
U.K. (EWU) +0.76% +7.47% +18.46% +9.23% +36.73%
Canada (EWC) +0.72% +4.40% +15.55% +5.99% +37.51%
Switzerland (EWL) +0.34% +7.01% +15.60% +7.37% +27.91%
Japan (EWJ) +0.30% +9.26% +19.43% +13.29% +37.28%
Emerging Markets
South Africa (EZA) +2.99% +5.19% +25.51% +12.28% +76.08%
Taiwan (EWT) +2.35% +11.78% +26.15% +17.08% +46.34%
India (INDA) +2.14% +3.27% -2.38% -1.17% +6.67%
Brazil (EWZ) +1.97% +17.10% +27.85% +23.92% +58.50%
Mexico (EWW) +1.61% +8.87% +25.43% +17.16% +59.49%
Indonesia (EIDO) +1.29% -5.59% -0.52% -3.42% +4.97%
Malaysia (EWM) +1.04% +8.07% +17.50% +10.12% +28.74%
China (MCHI) +0.48% -1.04% +1.45% +1.56% +13.95%
Thailand (THD) -0.44% +15.45% +25.55% +21.33% +34.18%

Fixed Income

Duration proved to be a headwind across the broader fixed income spectrum during the session, as Long-Term Government bonds (SPTL) slipped 0.22% while shorter tenors largely flatlined. Credit markets navigated the environment slightly better, with Taxable High Yield (HYG) edging higher by 0.07% as Corporate bonds (SPIB) ended unchanged. International and emerging market local debt provided a clear bright spot for the day, as Emerging Markets Local Currency (EMLC) outperformed peers with a solid 0.34% daily advance.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Multisector
Taxable Core Enhanced (IUSB) +0.02% +1.52% +1.74% +1.35% +7.67%
Taxable Core (AGG) +0.02% +1.56% +1.70% +1.35% +7.50%
Taxable Short-Term (BSV) +0.01% +0.78% +1.19% +0.66% +6.02%
Taxable Long Term (BLV) -0.13% +3.03% +1.99% +2.54% +7.36%
Government
Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) +0.03% +0.32% +0.92% +0.50% +4.07%
Government Intermediate (SPTI) 0.00% +1.34% +1.10% +0.95% +7.54%
Government Short (SPTS) 0.00% +0.52% +1.03% +0.49% +5.15%
Inflation Protected (TIP) -0.05% +1.37% +0.99% +1.16% +5.88%
Government Long (SPTL) -0.22% +3.29% +1.45% +2.63% +6.33%
Specialty
Taxable High Yield (HYG) +0.07% +0.64% +2.58% +0.95% +7.57%
Mortgage Backed (MBS) +0.05% +1.61% +2.30% +1.54% +8.82%
Bank Loans (BKLN) 0.00% -1.34% +0.28% -1.21% +4.97%
Corporate (SPIB) 0.00% +1.16% +1.78% +1.04% +7.92%
Preferred Stock (PFF) -0.03% +0.85% +6.00% +2.97% +6.67%
Convertible (CWB) -0.36% +1.74% +9.90% +6.20% +19.11%
International & EM
Emerging (EMLC) +0.34% +2.36% +5.33% +2.99% +17.76%
International (IGOV) +0.22% +2.70% +4.21% +2.65% +10.90%
International USD (BNDX) +0.10% +1.45% +1.46% +1.60% +4.46%
Emerging USD (EMB) +0.10% +2.45% +3.08% +1.86% +13.18%
Municipals
Municipal Long (MLN) +0.08% +1.88% +1.59% +1.18% +3.34%
Municipal Intermediate (MUB) +0.07% +1.48% +2.13% +1.60% +4.88%
Municipal Short (SUB) +0.05% +0.51% +1.39% +0.85% +3.94%
Municipal High Yield (HYD) -0.29% +0.94% +1.73% +0.70% +3.20%

Commodities

Precious metals single-handedly ignited the commodities complex, driven by an explosive 7.90% jump in Silver (SLV) alongside a solid 1.97% gain in Gold (GLD). Industrial metals also participated in the broad-based materials rally, as Copper (CPER) advanced 1.77%. In contrast, the traditional energy patch struggled to find footing; WTI Crude Oil (USO) and Brent Crude Oil (BNO) both recorded daily declines near 0.40%, effectively weighing down the broader energy segment despite outperformance in Natural Gas (UNG).

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) +1.09% +4.70% +14.20% +11.38% +17.57%
Agriculture
Wheat (WEAT) +1.60% +10.24% +5.82% +11.02% -14.73%
Sugar (CANE) +1.19% -3.37% -2.34% -5.40% -26.69%
Corn (CORN) +0.74% +2.56% +0.11% -0.62% -14.22%
Agriculture (DBA) +0.50% +2.12% +3.95% +2.00% -3.43%
Soybeans (SOYB) -0.25% +7.11% +0.64% +7.46% +5.34%
Energy
Natural Gas (UNG) +1.78% -2.91% -16.71% -2.04% -44.73%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) -0.38% +13.77% +17.48% +19.63% +8.10%
Energy (DBE) -0.39% +10.41% +9.78% +15.43% +5.19%
WTI Crude Oil (USO) -0.42% +12.51% +15.25% +16.90% +3.97%
Industrial Metals
Copper (CPER) +1.77% +1.29% +17.55% +3.46% +24.42%
Industrial Metals (DBB) +1.19% +0.34% +15.24% +3.84% +24.19%
Precious Metals
Silver (SLV) +7.90% -10.27% +67.37% +18.94% +155.83%
Palladium (PALL) +4.37% -5.86% +27.40% +9.78% +78.13%
Platinum (PPLT) +4.27% -12.31% +43.08% +5.40% +119.25%
Precious Metals (DBP) +3.47% +2.22% +32.10% +17.62% +83.00%
Gold (GLD) +1.97% +7.18% +25.02% +18.25% +72.93%

Cryptocurrency

Digital assets broadly experienced measured daily gains, allowing prices to consolidate following steep drawdowns over the preceding months. Solana (SOLZ) led the primary digital asset composites with a 3.11% advance, flashing signs of mean reversion. Ethereum (ETHA) and Bitcoin (IBIT) moved in tandem, posting respective gains of 1.15% and 0.92%, while XRP (XRP) brought up the rear with a subtle 0.38% increase.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
XRP (XRP) +0.38% -25.60% -29.34% -22.66% N/A
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) +0.87% -26.15% -24.12% -24.38% -32.95%
Bitcoin (IBIT) +0.92% -24.31% -21.53% -22.62% -31.44%
Ethereum (ETHA) +1.15% -34.32% -30.45% -33.62% -28.59%
Solana (SOLZ) +3.11% -33.68% -37.25% -32.11% N/A

What to Watch Today

Market participants are closely monitoring central bank rhetoric and any upcoming macroeconomic data releases that might offer definitive clues on the trajectory of global interest rates. The sustained and robust strength in emerging markets, coupled with the sudden spike in precious metals, suggests a shifting global risk appetite that investors will look to validate in the days ahead. Furthermore, evolving geopolitical headlines may continue to inject sudden volatility into energy markets, which remain highly sensitive to supply-side disruptions heading into the next quarter.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.